Depending on the state you are from you may be able to claim promotions surrounding AFL games. These promos will ramp up during the finals series and we will cover them extensively when they are released. NB: Australians can no longer claim sign up bonuses at online bookmakers, with the National Gambling Framework banning bonuses them until further notice. Despite the sudden retirement of star defender Alex Rance, Richmond will start the season as the outright favourite in AFL Premiership betting.
Collingwood and the GWS Giants, the last two runners-up, round out the major contenders. The Brisbane Lions will fancy their chances on the back of a big season in , while the star-studded Cats are never too far away from the premiership conversation.
See more AFL futures odds at Sportsbet. Invariably the Grand Final pits two of the best teams of the year against each other, which means the odds will be much more even than they are throughout the season. Also, due to the sheer amount of money put into the market on this one, the agencies usually offer huge money back specials on head-to-head markets throughout the game.
Line betting will give you better odds on a straight head-to-head market to if you are prepared to concede a head start to another team. It is also a great saver bet if you think your team is in with a chance but you are not absolutely certain they can be in front when the final siren sounds. Both head-to-head and line betting is available throughout the match, but bear in mind that due to the fluctuations in matches the odds will change rapidly.
Australians are restricted in betting live on the internet, but most corporate bookmakers will have a phone line that you can call and place bets during the course of a game. Five members of the media are given the honour of selecting the winner through a 3,2,1 voting system, with one of the five appointed the chairman. There will only ever be a single winner of the Norm Smith Medal, with a count-back system awarding the medal to whoever accumulated the most best on ground votes as allocated by the judges on the day.
If there is still a tie, the chairman has the deciding vote. The Norm Smith Medal has live-betting all throughout the match, with markets closing late in the fourth quarter. It pays to check the statistics and figures on the match before making a live bet, with kicks and handballs not the be-all and end-all when it comes to influence.
New stats such as score involvements, pressure acts and score chain possessions will greatly assist in helping you find and winner on the live betting side of things. He repeated the feat in to join an exclusive club of two-time winners that includes Gary Ayres, Andrew McLeod and Luke Hodge, and then did it again in to become the first player in history to win the award three times. Outside of Norm Smith betting, betting on who will kick the first goal in the AFL Grand Final is always a hot bet going into the match.
The idea is simple — either select a player you think will kick the first goal of the entire match, or select a particular player from their respective team to kick the first goal. This means if his opponent nails the first goal of the contest, you are still in with a chance to make a collect on the game. Some agencies feature a first goal scorer bet for each quarter too, so if you feel robbed that your guy missed a goal from five metres out, there is always next quarter.
In , Crow midfielder Rory Sloane floated forward to take a chest mark and kick truly from a set shot. Another one of the self-explanatory bets but a critically hard one to master. The most possessions bet through some agencies has the overall market, but typically the big agencies will split key possession gathers into two groups and will only compete against five other players. In games throughout the season most possession bets start and end prior to the match, but in the AFL Grand Final live betting for most possessions runs all the way through the match.
Sometimes this market correlates directly with the Norm Smith voting, due the fact that if you have the most possessions in a game you are typically exerting the most influence on the outcome. In , Adelaide midfielder Matt Crouch broke all kinds of records on the way to 37 disposals.
All the best betting agencies have multiple markets on the game, as well as promotions throughout the season and leading right up to the game. Any company who truly values their position in the sports betting market will have a multitude of options to choose from when it comes to odds, markets and specials so you will never be bereft of choice when the big dance rolls around.
There was more than a hint of irony about the fact that the first AFL Grand Final played outside Victoria featured two of the oldest, proudest clubs from the Big V. The condition were always going to suit the Tigers, however, and that point became clearer as the second half wore on. On a night full of footy firsts, Dustin Martin put in a dazzling display to become the only player in history to win the Norm Smith Medal three times. Having failed to reach the big dance as favourites in , Richmond brought a ruthless determination into the finals campaign.
They blitzed the Brisbane Lions side in the first week and followed up with a point win over Geelong in the preliminary final to enter the last Saturday in September on an game winning streak. Greater Western Sydney had a much tougher road to the decider. They made their intentions known with a big win over the in-form Western Bulldogs in the first week, but narrow wins over Brisbane and Collingwood left the Giants short on gas for their first-ever AFL Grand Final appearance.
The opening quarter was low-scoring and cagey, with the Tigers taking a seven-point lead into the first break. By half-time, however, the game was all but over. Richmond piled on five unanswered goals in a second-quarter blitz while GWS struggled to feed the ball to their frustrated forwards. The gap widened further after the main break as the Tigers romped to an point victory — their biggest winning margin in a GF.
The match was notable for several reasons. The Magpies had finished 13th the previous season, thus continuing the trend of teams bolting into flag contention from outside the top eight. Despite spending the entirety of the season inside the top four, West Coast managed to fly under the radar for much of the campaign.
They destroyed a well-liked Melbourne side in the prelims, yet there were doubts over their ability to get the job done at the MCG without the suspended Andrew Gaff and injured Nic Naitanui. The bookmakers do somewhat share this opinion too, as the odds for Port Adelaide to ultimately win the Grand Final are around 8. This shows that if you were to back them and they did in fact win, you could be in a position for a rather nice return.
Out of all of the teams we have mentioned here, Brisbane was the one that showed the most consistency. This was somewhat surprising since Brisbane had the joint-best points and performances in the league, but they did lack the firepower needed to run deep into the playoffs. With that said, if the squad has a solid pre-season and manages to figure out the obvious mistakes that were made in the playoffs, Brisbane could well surprise a few people.
The team is listed at around 8. We actually feel that the odds will shift lower as the season rolls around, which is why now is a great time to back Brisbane. The fact that Richmond managed to overcome all sorts of obstacles last season and lift the title is a major driving force for why they are tipped as favourites with the majority of online bookies. When you compare the odds for Richmond with all of the other teams, they are clearly the red-hot favourites to ultimately win the Grand Finals.
With that said, some punters are still claiming that last year was a one-off, especially with Richmond closing the season in third place. The West Coast Eagles could have gone deep into the playoffs last season, but they fell at the first hurdle against Collingwood.
Many people were not expecting this result, and inevitably, this will have damaged the confidence levels of the squad overall. However, it is still undeniable that the West Coast Eagles have a strong squad that is capable of beating anyone on their day. They also have one of the largest fan bases that will be cheering them on with every play too, which is another factor to consider.
The West Coast Eagles actually achieved the exact same regular season as Geelong, who obviously went on to lose in the Grand Finals. If we work from statistics alone, this would suggest that they have a similar chance of achieving the same level of success. And the fact that these guys are listed at somewhere near 7.
Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but West Coast Eagles have made it to our top 5 AFL betting tips as they clearly have what it takes to take home the trophy. Before you can apply these AFL predictions to your betting activities, you need to make sure that you find an appropriate online bookmaker to bet with. The good news is that the Australian market is far from short on options in this regard, but still, there are several bookmakers that do things a bit better than the rest.
As you may already be aware, Betfair is a brand that has stolen the hearts of Aussie punters for quite a while now. This is probably because the site offers quite a unique betting experience compared to most others, as it operates as an exchange rather than a traditional online sportsbook.
To add to that, Betfair has some of the very best odds on the AFL that you can find, which is an extremely positive factor. The brand has a terrific reputation, there is no denying that, and of course, Ladbrokes provides members with access to betting markets for just about every AFL game that is played throughout the season. Right now, the only markets on offer are the futures markets, but many more will materialize once the season kicks off.
The final brand we wish to mention is Neds. These guys have built up a solid reputation for its racing markets, yet it is a site that is also ideal for AFL betting. Neds regularly provides great betting odds and a very diverse range of wagers that you can place. This is why the site is exciting and potentially rewarding for you to use. To add to these offerings, Neds has a great mobile app that can be downloaded for iOS and Android, and the site is super simple to actually navigate and use.
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